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Naft Gachsaran vs Esteghlal Molasani

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Karamolachaab R.
90' Event
Marvani A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2023/2024 game between Naft Gachsaran and Esteghlal Molasani finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Naft Gachsaran
40%
Draws
29%
Esteghlal Molasani
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Esteghlal Molasani haven't matched Naft Gachsaran's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 68%
Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Gachsaran Esteghlal Molasani
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 14 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Esteghlal Molasani
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Naft Gachsaran
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Gachsaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Karamolachaab R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Esteghlal Molasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Marvani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Gachsaran 42 / 100
Esteghlal Molasani 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Gachsaran Esteghlal Molasani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran scored in 63% of their last 40 games.

Esteghlal Molasani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Esteghlal Molasani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Naft Gachsaran VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kheybar Khorramabad34252759:2577
2Fajr Sepasi34227550:1773
3Chadormalu34227547:2073
4Naft Masjed-Soleyman341613547:2958
5Saipa3413111035:2850
6Mes Kerman341115828:2448
7Ario Eslamshahr3411131028:2846
8Mes Shahr Babak3411111232:2644
9Naft Gachsaran3410131135:2643
10Kara Gostar Shabestar3411101327:3443
11Pars Janoobi Jam3411101333:4243
12Esteghlal Molasani3410131126:3338
13Shahre Raz348121425:3436
14Shahrdari Astara34961922:4433
15Damash Gilan347111632:4532
16Darya Babol346131530:4131
17Shahin Bandar Ameri3449821:5127
18Khoosheh Talai34662217:4724