Sport Picks
Naft Gachsaran vs Mazandaran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
15'
15'
Bousabih S.
36'
36'
Soltanimehr M.
80'
80'
Karimzadeh M.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Naft Gachsaran and Mazandaran finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazandaran.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazandaran
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mazandaran carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Mazandaran here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 20%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Mazandaran |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mazandaran
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Naft Gachsaran
3:0
Apr 6, 2015 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Naft Gachsaran
2:0
Dec 2, 2014 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mazandaran
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naft Gachsaran Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Mazandaran Compare
Top Goalscorer Bousabih S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Soltanimehr M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naft Gachsaran 36 / 100
Mazandaran 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naft Gachsaran Mazandaran
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mazandaran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Naft Gachsaran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Naft Gachsaran's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mazandaran has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Naft Gachsaran VS Mazandaran
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Naft Gachsaran
(Home) 04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 3 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 3
Mazandaran
(Away) 08 Oct
Mazandaran
1 : 1 Zob Ahan
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1 Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Mazandaran
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1 Mazandaran
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Mazandaran
14 Aug
Gol Gohar
1 : 0 Mazandaran
11 Jul
Fard
0 : 1 Mazandaran
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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