Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naft Gachsaran vs Mazandaran

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naft Gachsaran play Mazandaran in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Naft Gachsaran averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Mazandaran averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. In past meetings, Naft Gachsaran won 0, Mazandaran won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for Naft Gachsaran and 1.56 for Mazandaran. This points to a Mazandaran double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Naft Gachsaran
21%
Draws
54%
Mazandaran
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Mazandaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Naft Gachsaran picked up more points recently compared to Mazandaran.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 15%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Gachsaran Mazandaran
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mazandaran
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Naft Gachsaran
3:0
Apr 6, 2015 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Naft Gachsaran
2:0
Dec 2, 2014 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mazandaran
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Gachsaran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Mazandaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Alousabih S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehr M. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Gachsaran 26 / 100
Mazandaran 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Gachsaran Mazandaran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazandaran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Mazandaran & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Naft Gachsaran attacking → ← attacking Mazandaran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Mazandaran let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Naft Gachsaran went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mazandaran lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 55
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mazandaran32199446:1566
2Mes Shahr Babak321810439:1464
3Pars Janoobi Jam321412638:2154
4Sanat Naft321412634:2154
5Saipa321411727:1853
6Havadar SC321116530:1849
7Fard321015724:1445
8Naft Bandar Abbas32917623:1844
9Mes Kerman32915820:1742
10Ario Eslamshahr32815916:1639
11Besat Kermanshah329111224:2738
12Niroye Zamini328111327:2835
13Naft Gachsaran327131223:3734
14Kara Gostar Shabestar32891516:3433
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm327101519:3531
16Shahrdari Noshahr325141317:2729
17Navad Urmia324121616:4324
18Damash Gilan322121816:5218