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Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Shahr Babak

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naft Gachsaran host Mes Shahr Babak in the Azadegan League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mes Shahr Babak have shipped 0.38 goals a game lately, while Naft Gachsaran have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Mes Shahr Babak slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 27, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 1.56, favoring Mes Shahr Babak. Mes Shahr Babak in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Naft Gachsaran
6%
Draws
90%
Mes Shahr Babak
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mes Shahr Babak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mes Shahr Babak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mes Shahr Babak's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 15%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Gachsaran Mes Shahr Babak
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Naft Gachsaran
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:1
Oct 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Naft Gachsaran
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Naft Gachsaran
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Gachsaran 10 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Gachsaran Mes Shahr Babak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Mes Shahr Babak conceded in 39% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Naft Gachsaran has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naft Gachsaran VS Mes Shahr Babak
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618