Sport Picks
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Shahr Babak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
78'
78'
Valizadeh A.
90'
90'
Valizadeh A.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Naft Gachsaran and Mes Shahr Babak finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mes Shahr Babak.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Mes Shahr Babak carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Naft Gachsaran's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Mes Shahr Babak have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Mes Shahr Babak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:2
Dec 27, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Naft Gachsaran
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:1
Oct 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Naft Gachsaran
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Naft Gachsaran
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naft Gachsaran Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Mes Shahr Babak Compare
Top Goalscorer Valizadeh A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naft Gachsaran 36 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naft Gachsaran Mes Shahr Babak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Naft Gachsaran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Naft Gachsaran scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Mes Shahr Babak let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Naft Gachsaran VS Mes Shahr Babak
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Naft Gachsaran
(Home) 04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 3 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 3
Mes Shahr Babak
(Away) 08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2 Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 7
08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
14 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
4 : 0 Mes Shahr Babak
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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