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Naft Missan vs Zakho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naft Missan host Zakho in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Naft Missan at 1.18 goals for, 1.25 against; Zakho at 0.97 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Naft Missan have won 2 to Zakho's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.13) point toward Naft Missan. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Naft Missan
30%
Draws
31%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Zakho haven't matched Naft Missan's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Naft Missan taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 20%
Zakho Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Missan Zakho
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.18 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Naft Missan
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Zakho
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Naft Missan
0:1
Jan 24, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Zakho
1:1
Jun 23, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Zakho
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 40 / 100
Zakho 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Missan Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Missan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Naft Missan scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Naft Missan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Zakho
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Missan

(Home)
16 Oct
Diyala
2 : 0
Naft Missan
08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Erbil
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
Page 1 of 6

Zakho

(Away)
17 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Zakho
09 Oct
Zakho
0 : 1
Newroz
19 Sept
Al Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 10 7 3 0 17:7 24
2 Newroz 10 6 3 1 16:4 21
3 Al Naft 10 6 3 1 13:5 21
4 Al Zawraa 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Erbil 10 5 3 2 13:5 18
6 Al Shorta 10 4 5 1 10:5 17
7 Al Golan 10 3 5 2 10:9 14
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 2 6 2 14:12 12
9 Duhok 10 2 6 2 14:13 12
10 Diyala 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
11 Al Minaa 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
12 Ghaz Al Shamal 10 2 5 3 5:7 11
13 Al Talaba 10 2 5 3 10:14 11
14 Al Mosul 10 3 2 5 10:15 11
15 Zakho 10 2 3 5 7:13 9
16 Al Gharraf 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
17 Al Karkh 10 2 2 6 14:17 8
18 Al Kahraba 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
19 Naft Missan 10 1 5 4 7:14 8
20 Karbala 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)