Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Rudar

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Nafta Logo

Nafta

1 - 1
FT
Rudar Logo

Rudar

Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Perkovic J.
71' Event
Marosa A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Nafta and Rudar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nafta
15%
Draws
51%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rudar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nafta come out ahead of Rudar on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Rudar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nafta Clean Sheet 10%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Rudar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 2. SNL
Nafta vs Rudar
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 2. SNL
Rudar vs Nafta
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 2. SNL
Nafta vs Rudar
0:0
Oct 8, 2023 2. SNL
Rudar vs Nafta
1:5
Mar 31, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Rudar
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Marosa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Rudar Compare

Top Goalscorer Perkovic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 26 / 100
Rudar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rudar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nafta scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Rudar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nafta remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Rudar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
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Rudar

(Away)
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
29 Aug
Rudar
4 : 1
Bilje
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)