Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nafta vs Triglav

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Lendava, Lendava
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Kambic L.
79' Event
Maksimovic T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nafta
6%
Draws
90%
Triglav
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Triglav have won more games recently than Nafta.
  • Model gives Triglav a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nafta Clean Sheet 20%
Triglav Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nafta Triglav
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 2. SNL
Nafta vs Triglav
1:1
Nov 14, 2025 2. SNL
Triglav vs Nafta
0:2
May 3, 2024 2. SNL
Triglav vs Nafta
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Triglav
0:0
Apr 7, 2023 2. SNL
Triglav vs Nafta
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Kambic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimovic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nafta 10 / 100
Triglav 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nafta Triglav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nafta scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Triglav's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Nafta has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nafta VS Triglav
1.38 Goals Scored 1.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Nafta

(Home)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

Triglav

(Away)
22 May
Nafta
1 : 1
Triglav
16 May
Triglav
0 : 4
Bistrica
10 May
Tabor Sezana
0 : 1
Triglav
06 May
Triglav
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
30 Apr
Jesenice
0 : 3
Triglav
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)