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Naftan vs Mikashevichi

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Sapon F.
11'
Radchenko M.
16' Event
Kleshchenok A.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2020 game between Naftan and Mikashevichi finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naftan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Naftan
20%
Draws
16%
Mikashevichi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naftan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naftan come out ahead of Mikashevichi on wins alone.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Naftan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Naftan Clean Sheet 14%
Mikashevichi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan Mikashevichi
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.16 1
Goals Conceded 2.06 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Mikashevichi vs Naftan
1:2
Jun 27, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs Mikashevichi
3:0
Sep 21, 2019 Pershaya Liga
Mikashevichi vs Naftan
3:4
May 18, 2019 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs Mikashevichi
0:0
Aug 11, 2018 Pershaya Liga
Mikashevichi vs Naftan
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kleshchenok A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tamelo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Mikashevichi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan 30 / 100
Mikashevichi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan Mikashevichi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naftan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mikashevichi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Naftan found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Difficult form: Mikashevichi registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naftan VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naftan

(Home)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 7

Mikashevichi

(Away)
21 Nov
Lokomotiv Gomel
4 : 0
Mikashevichi
15 Nov
Mikashevichi
1 : 2
Krumkachy
07 Nov
Mikashevichi
1 : 4
FC Gomel
31 Oct
Chimik Svetlogorsk
0 : 0
Mikashevichi
25 Oct
Mikashevichi
1 : 2
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sputnik 26 19 4 3 50:18 61
2 FC Gomel 26 18 5 3 60:20 54
3 Krumkachy 26 16 4 6 46:28 52
4 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26 13 7 6 41:28 46
5 Lokomotiv Gomel 26 13 6 7 56:38 45
6 Smorgon 26 10 6 10 29:26 36
7 FK Lida 26 9 7 10 37:42 31
8 FC Slonim 26 8 6 12 22:32 30
9 Volna Pinsk 26 7 6 13 41:52 27
10 Oshmyany 26 6 8 12 35:43 26
11 Orsha 26 7 6 13 30:42 24
12 Naftan 26 10 6 10 36:43 21
13 Mikashevichi 26 4 5 17 21:52 17
14 Chimik Svetlogorsk 26 2 4 20 12:52 1
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2021 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2020 (Relegation - Play Offs)