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Stadium Background

Naftan vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga 2024 Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Lopaga J. In: Zhitnev M.
Out: Lopaga J.
64'
Burko M.
66'
Sub
Kabyshev V. In: Grivenev E.
Out: Kabyshev V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vysshaya Liga 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Naftan
20%
Draws
16%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naftan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naftan lately — more wins on the board than Shakhtyor Soligorsk.
  • 16% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Naftan Clean Sheet 14%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1 0.6
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
0:0
Jun 16, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Naftan
0:0
Aug 4, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1:1
Mar 18, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Naftan
2:1
Nov 4, 2017 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan 31 / 100
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan Shakhtyor Soligorsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtyor Soligorsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Shakhtyor Soligorsk has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Shakhtyor Soligorsk registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naftan VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naftan

(Home)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 7

Shakhtyor Soligorsk

(Away)
01 Dec
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
26 Nov
Zhodino
1 : 0
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
10 Nov
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1 : 2
FC Gomel
03 Nov
Naftan
0 : 0
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
27 Oct
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
0 : 1
FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Minsk 30 20 8 2 50:13 68
2 Neman 30 20 5 5 45:19 65
3 Zhodino 30 18 8 4 45:21 62
4 Dynamo Brest 30 14 7 9 62:37 49
5 Vitebsk 30 14 5 11 33:25 47
6 FC Gomel 30 11 11 8 37:28 44
7 Isloch Minsk 30 11 8 11 36:30 41
8 BATE 30 11 7 12 38:38 40
9 Slutsk 30 11 6 13 26:41 39
10 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 30 10 8 12 29:36 38
11 Slavia Mozyr 30 8 11 11 28:33 35
12 Smorgon 30 7 11 12 33:51 32
13 FC Minsk 30 6 10 14 28:44 28
14 Naftan 30 5 11 14 27:44 26
15 Dnepr Mogilev 30 3 9 18 27:58 18
16 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 30 5 7 18 19:45 2
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2025 (Main)