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Stadium Background

Naftan W vs Dnepr Mogilev W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women 2025 Atlant Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Uzun U.
66' Event
Mikhan D.
66'
Sub
Bondarenko A. In: Dashkova D.
Out: Bondarenko A.

AI Match Summary

Naftan W in this Vysshaya Liga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naftan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Naftan W
6%
Draws
90%
Dnepr Mogilev W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dnepr Mogilev W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Naftan W haven't matched Dnepr Mogilev W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dnepr Mogilev W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dnepr Mogilev W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Naftan W Clean Sheet 10%
Dnepr Mogilev W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan W Dnepr Mogilev W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 1 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 3.88 5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 5.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
1:4
Aug 24, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dnepr Mogilev W vs Naftan W
2:0
May 8, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naftan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikhan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Dnepr Mogilev W Compare

Avg xG / game 4.55
Avg xA / game 2.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan W 10 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan W Dnepr Mogilev W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DNE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Naftan W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Naftan W found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Dnepr Mogilev W conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Naftan W VS Dnepr Mogilev W
3.88 Goals Scored 5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk W302820136:1386
2Minsk FK W302334167:2372
3Dnepr Mogilev W30187572:2961
4Vitebsk W30194766:3661
5Dynamo Brest W30156968:3151
6SKA-1938 Minsk W301431379:4245
7Naftan W30931834:7630
8Belarus U19 W30691529:5927
9Belshina W30642035:11622
10Dyussh-Polesgu W30322514:14711
11FC Gomel W30132616:1446