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Naftan W vs Vitebsk W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women 2025 Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Yakushevich A.
57'
Sub
Krakhmalova A. In: Zavadskaya A.
Out: Krakhmalova A.
60'
Belous M.

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk W in this Vysshaya Liga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitebsk W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Naftan W
20%
Draws
24%
Vitebsk W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naftan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitebsk W average 2.2 goals a game right now, well clear of Naftan W's 2.13.
  • Naftan W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Naftan W Clean Sheet 10%
Vitebsk W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan W Vitebsk W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 1 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.13 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Vitebsk W vs Naftan W
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Vitebsk W
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Vitebsk W
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Vitebsk W vs Naftan W
5:0
May 18, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Vitebsk W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naftan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vitebsk W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tolkun V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yanchilenko E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan W 83 / 100
Vitebsk W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan W Vitebsk W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naftan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Vitebsk W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Naftan W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naftan W VS Vitebsk W
2 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Naftan W

(Home)
19 Sept
Naftan W
2 : 1
Belshina W
12 Sept
Naftan W
6 : 0
Dyussh-Polesgu W
28 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 1
Naftan W
23 Aug
Naftan W
3 : 2
FC Gomel W
18 Aug
Naftan W
2 : 4
Din. Minsk W
Page 1 of 7

Vitebsk W

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitebsk W
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest W
13 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk W
0 : 0
Vitebsk W
28 Aug
Vitebsk W
2 : 1
Belarus U19 W
23 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev W
3 : 1
Vitebsk W
09 Aug
Vitebsk W
0 : 3
Naftan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Minsk W 30 28 2 0 136:13 86
2 Minsk FK W 30 23 3 4 167:23 72
3 Dnepr Mogilev W 30 18 7 5 72:29 61
4 Vitebsk W 30 19 4 7 66:36 61
5 Dynamo Brest W 30 15 6 9 68:31 51
6 SKA-1938 Minsk W 30 14 3 13 79:42 45
7 Naftan W 30 9 3 18 34:76 30
8 Belarus U19 W 30 6 9 15 29:59 27
9 Belshina W 30 6 4 20 35:116 22
10 Dyussh-Polesgu W 30 3 2 25 14:147 11
11 FC Gomel W 30 1 3 26 16:144 6
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)