Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nagaland vs Rajasthan FC

India India

Santosh Trophy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nagaland play Rajasthan FC in the Santosh Trophy. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nagaland averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Rajasthan FC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Nagaland won 0, Rajasthan FC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 30, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Nagaland and 1.81 for Rajasthan FC. This points to a Nagaland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nagaland
22%
Draws
33%
Rajasthan FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nagaland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Nagaland picked up more points recently compared to Rajasthan FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Nagaland Clean Sheet 11%
Rajasthan FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagaland Rajasthan FC
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.64 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Santosh Trophy
Nagaland vs Rajasthan FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagaland Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayenmongba S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bohham L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rajasthan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kumar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagaland 43 / 100
Rajasthan FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagaland Rajasthan FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nagaland or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nagaland attacking → ← attacking Rajasthan FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagaland scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Rajasthan FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Nagaland went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rajasthan FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 30
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1West Bengal FT53208:211
2Tamilnadu53116:210
3Rajasthan FC52126:87
4Assam51318:66
5Uttarakhand51135:74
6Nagaland50236:142
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kerala53118:310
2Railways51407:57
3Punjab FT521210:107
4Services51314:46
5Meghalaya51318:106
6Odisha football team50233:82