Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nagano Parceiro vs Kofu

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Nagano U Stadium, Nagano
Sat, May 23, 2026
1 - 0
07:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sato K.
59'
Takei S.
60'
Sub
Kondo T. In: Kutsuna K.
Out: Kondo T.

AI Match Summary

Nagano Parceiro in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nagano Parceiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nagano Parceiro
20%
Draws
30%
Kofu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nagano Parceiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Nagano Parceiro haven't matched Kofu's recent run of results.
  • Nagano Parceiro are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 68%
Kofu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagano Parceiro Kofu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Kofu
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kofu vs Nagano Parceiro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagano Parceiro 77 / 100
Kofu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagano Parceiro Kofu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nagano Parceiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagano Parceiro's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kofu has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Nagano Parceiro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nagano Parceiro VS Kofu
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagano Parceiro

(Home)
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Mito
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6

Kofu

(Away)
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Kofu
02 Sept
FC Osaka
3 : 0
Kofu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)