Sport Picks
Nagano Parceiro vs Nara Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Nagano U Stadium, Nagano 
Match Events
48'
48'
Morita R.
73'
73'
Sub
Ando R. In: Morimoto H.
Out: Ando R.
73'
73'
Sub
Togashi Y. In: Mochizuki S.
Out: Togashi Y.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Nagano Parceiro and Nara Club finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nara Club.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nara Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Nara Club carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Nara Club's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagano Parceiro | Nara Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Nara Club
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 J3 League
Nara Club vs Nagano Parceiro
2:0
May 31, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Nara Club
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Nara Club
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 J3 League
Nara Club vs Nagano Parceiro
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Nara Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Mochizuki S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nagano Parceiro 14 / 100
Nara Club 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nagano Parceiro Nara Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nara Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Nara Club conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Nagano Parceiro's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Nagano Parceiro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nagano Parceiro VS Nara Club
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Nagano Parceiro
(Home) 03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Nara Club
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Mito
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Nara Club
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Mito
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 3
Nara Club
(Away) 03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Nara Club
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1 Reilac Shiga
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3 Nara Club
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1 Gifu
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2 Nara Club
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Nara Club
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3 Nara Club
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2 Nara Club
29 Aug
Fukushima United
2 : 2 Nara Club
09 Aug
Ehime
4 : 1 Nara Club
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 16 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
