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Nagano Parceiro vs Ryukyu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Nagano U Stadium, Nagano
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nagano Parceiro host Ryukyu in the J3 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Nagano Parceiro at 1.14 goals for, 1.61 against; Ryukyu at 1.18 for, 1.61 against. Past meetings favor Ryukyu slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.31) point toward Nagano Parceiro. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nagano Parceiro
20%
Draws
29%
Ryukyu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nagano Parceiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nagano Parceiro lately — more wins on the board than Ryukyu.
  • Nagano Parceiro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 18%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagano Parceiro Ryukyu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Nagano Parceiro
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Ryukyu
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Ryukyu
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Nagano Parceiro
4:3
Sep 30, 2023 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Nagano Parceiro
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagano Parceiro 85 / 100
Ryukyu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagano Parceiro Ryukyu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nagano Parceiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagano Parceiro's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ryukyu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nagano Parceiro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nagano Parceiro VS Ryukyu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagano Parceiro

(Home)
10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Nara Club
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

Ryukyu

(Away)
10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1
Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ryukyu
0 : 2
Kanazawa
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)