Sport Picks
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka
Japan
J1 League Toyota Stadium, Toyota City 
Match Events
7'
7'
Kimura Y.
Assist: Izumi R.
11'
11'
Meshino R.
Assist: Yamashita R.
40'
40'
Kishimoto T.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nagoya Grampus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gamba Osaka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gamba Osaka carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Gamba Osaka taking it.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 16%
Gamba Osaka Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka
3:1
May 6, 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 J1 League
Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 J1 League
Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nagoya Grampus Compare
Top Goalscorer Kimura Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Asano Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Gamba Osaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Meshino R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nagoya Grampus 10 / 100
Gamba Osaka 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gamba Osaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nagoya Grampus found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Gamba Osaka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Gamba Osaka's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nagoya Grampus VS Gamba Osaka
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nagoya Grampus
(Home) 19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Machida Zelvia
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Machida Zelvia
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
26 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Gainare Tottori
22 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
3 : 1 Gamba Osaka
08 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
0 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 3
Gamba Osaka
(Away) 23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0 Tokushima
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1 Vissel Kobe
15 Sept
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1 Cong An Ha Noi
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2 FC Tokyo
06 Sept
Chiba
2 : 0 Gamba Osaka
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Chiba
2 : 0 Gamba Osaka
02 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 2 Gamba Osaka
22 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
3 : 1 Gamba Osaka
15 Aug
Mito
1 : 1 Gamba Osaka
11 Aug
Gangwon
0 : 1 Gamba Osaka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
