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Nagoya Grampus vs SRC Hiroshima Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2017 Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Uchida K.
53' Event
Aoki R.
61' Event
Aoki R.

AI Match Summary

Nagoya Grampus in this Emperors Cup 2017 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nagoya Grampus
15%
Draws
0%
SRC Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nagoya Grampus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nagoya Grampus lately — more wins on the board than SRC Hiroshima.
  • Model gives Nagoya Grampus a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Nagoya Grampus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nagoya Grampus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 68%
SRC Hiroshima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagoya Grampus SRC Hiroshima
Matches Played 31 3
Wins 12 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 1.68 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.81 5.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2017 Emperors Cup
Nagoya Grampus vs SRC Hiroshima
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagoya Grampus Compare

Top Goalscorer Aoki R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uchida K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

SRC Hiroshima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagoya Grampus 95 / 100
SRC Hiroshima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagoya Grampus SRC Hiroshima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nagoya Grampus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagoya Grampus found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

SRC Hiroshima has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: SRC Hiroshima has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nagoya Grampus VS SRC Hiroshima
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagoya Grampus

(Home)
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3
Machida Zelvia
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 7

SRC Hiroshima

(Away)
19 Aug
SRC Hiroshima
1 : 6
Maruyasu Okazaki
21 Jun
Nagoya Grampus
6 : 0
SRC Hiroshima
27 Aug
SRC Hiroshima
0 : 4
Ehime

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 3
FC Osaka 1
Kyoto 0
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Gifu 3
Tokushima 0
Kagoshima United 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Nagano Parceiro 2
FC Tokyo 1
Imabari 0
Okayama 1
Shonan Bellmare 1
Kokushikan Un. 0
Honda FC 2
Iwata 3
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tochigi City 0
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 2
Iwaki 5
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Shimizu S-Pulse 4
Gamba Osaka 3
Verspah Oita 0
Verdy 0
Chiba 1
Oita Trinita 4
Machida Zelvia 2
Urayasu SC 0
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Cerezo Osaka 2
Niigata University 0
Cento Cuore Harima 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Vanraure 1
Kofu 0
SRC Hiroshima 0
Nagoya Grampus 6
Tsukuba Univ. 3
Vegalta Sendai 2
Miyazaki Sangyo 2
Avispa Fukuoka 4
Ehime 2
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Tonan Maebashi 0
Omiya Ardija 3
Kashima Antlers 5
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Kumamoto 2
Mito 1
Iwate Grulla Morioka 2
Urawa Reds 3
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
MD Nagasaki 0
Kagura Shimane 0
Sagan Tosu 3
Kanazawa 2
Yokohama FC 0
Toyama 1
Vissel Kobe 3
1/16-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 4
Azul Claro Numazu 2
Gifu 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Nagano Parceiro 1
Okayama 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Iwata 4
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
Iwaki 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Gamba Osaka 2
Chiba 0
Oita Trinita 0
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
Albirex Niigata 2
Vanraure 1
Nagoya Grampus 2
Tsukuba Univ. 2
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Ehime 2
Omiya Ardija 3
Kashima Antlers 5
Montedio Yamagata 0
Kumamoto 0
Urawa Reds 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 2
Sagan Tosu 1
Kanazawa 1
Vissel Kobe 3
1/8-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Nagano Parceiro 0
Iwata 1
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Kashiwa Reysol 3
Cerezo Osaka 1
Nagoya Grampus 0
Tsukuba Univ. 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Kashima Antlers 4
Urawa Reds 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Vissel Kobe 2
Quarter-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Iwata 0
Kawasaki Frontale 0
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Cerezo Osaka 2
Omiya Ardija 0
Kashima Antlers 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Semi-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Cerezo Osaka 3
Vissel Kobe 1
Final
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Cerezo Osaka 2