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Nagykanizsa FC vs Dunafoldvar

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025 Nagykanizsai Olajbanyasz Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nagykanizsa FC play Dunafoldvar in the NB III - Southwest 2024/2025. Nagykanizsa FC are favorites here. Recently, Nagykanizsa FC averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Dunafoldvar averaged 0.77 goals scored and 3.63 conceded. In past meetings, Nagykanizsa FC won 3, Dunafoldvar won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 20, 2025 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Nagykanizsa FC and 1.06 for Dunafoldvar. This points to a Nagykanizsa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Nagykanizsa FC
20%
Draws
9%
Dunafoldvar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nagykanizsa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nagykanizsa FC picked up more points recently compared to Dunafoldvar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Nagykanizsa FC Clean Sheet 22%
Dunafoldvar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagykanizsa FC Dunafoldvar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 1
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 25
Goals Scored 2.06 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Nagykanizsa FC vs Dunafoldvar
7:0
Oct 6, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Dunafoldvar vs Nagykanizsa FC
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Dunafoldvar vs Nagykanizsa FC
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Nagykanizsa FC vs Dunafoldvar
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagykanizsa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovalovszki M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Nagy M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dunafoldvar Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagykanizsa FC 68 / 100
Dunafoldvar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagykanizsa FC Dunafoldvar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nagykanizsa FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nagykanizsa FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nagykanizsa FC attacking → ← attacking Dunafoldvar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagykanizsa FC scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Dunafoldvar let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Nagykanizsa FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dunafoldvar lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 7
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nagykanizsa FC30235273:2474
2Ivancsa30215494:2668
3Ferencvaros II301712167:3163
4Kaposvar30188478:3362
5Pecsi MFC30186666:2960
6Siofok301510556:3255
7Paks II301261251:4642
8Majosi301171240:4540
9MTK Budapest II301151458:5738
10Dunaharaszti MTK301081247:4538
11Bonyhad301051538:5535
12Szekszardi30671730:5425
13PTE-PEAC30632127:7021
14Fonix Gold30632136:9021
15Gardony Varosi30561934:7121
16Dunafoldvar30142522:1097