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Nagykanizsa FC vs Kaposvar

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 Nagykanizsai Olajbanyasz Stadion
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Match Events

14' Event
Mazzonetto N.
45' Event
Mazzonetto N.
76' Event
Lorincz B.

AI Match Summary

Kaposvar in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaposvar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nagykanizsa FC
44%
Draws
20%
Kaposvar
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaposvar have won more games recently than Nagykanizsa FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Nagykanizsa FC Clean Sheet 20%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagykanizsa FC Kaposvar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 3.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Nagykanizsa FC vs Kaposvar
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Nagykanizsa FC
2:3
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Kaposvar vs Nagykanizsa FC
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Nagykanizsa FC
2:2
Aug 18, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Nagykanizsa FC vs Kaposvar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagykanizsa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorincz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Kaposvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzonetto N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagykanizsa FC 36 / 100
Kaposvar 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagykanizsa FC Kaposvar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagykanizsa FC found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Kaposvar conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Nagykanizsa FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nagykanizsa FC VS Kaposvar
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagykanizsa FC30216364:2769
2Pecsi MFC30207371:2567
3Kaposvar30203764:3263
4Ferencvaros II30174963:4355
5Majosi301731078:4954
6MTK Budapest II301641062:3352
7Erdi30157847:3952
8Dunaujvaros301310758:4249
9Ivancsa301161349:4439
10Siofok301151440:5538
11Paks II301021842:6232
12Szekszardi30941743:7531
13PTE-PEAC306101439:5128
14Balatonlelle30661824:5324
15Penzugyor SE30481831:6120
16Dombovari30032722:1063