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Nairn County vs Invergordon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nairn County host Invergordon in the Highland League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Nairn County at 1.21 goals for, 1.9 against; Invergordon at 1.44 for, 3.17 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.44 - 1.38) back Nairn County to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Nairn County
15%
Draws
26%
Invergordon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nairn County come out ahead of Invergordon on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Nairn County taking it.
  • Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 17%
Invergordon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairn County Invergordon
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 1
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairn County 84 / 100
Invergordon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairn County Invergordon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nairn County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Invergordon has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

Attacking prowess: Nairn County scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Nairn County has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Invergordon registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nairn County VS Invergordon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairn County

(Home)
24 Oct
Nairn County
2 : 2
Fraserburgh
17 Oct
Nairn County
2 : 1
Turriff United
10 Oct
Brora Rangers
2 : 1
Nairn County
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 6

Invergordon

(Away)
17 Oct
Keith
6 : 4
Invergordon
10 Oct
Invergordon
2 : 0
Rothes
07 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
1 : 0
Invergordon
03 Oct
Threave Rovers
3 : 2
Invergordon
26 Sept
Huntly
7 : 0
Invergordon
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 15 12 3 0 56:14 39
2 Inverurie Loco Works 16 9 5 2 31:21 32
3 Formartine Utd 15 8 4 3 28:19 28
4 Fraserburgh 15 7 6 2 32:16 27
5 Banks O' Dee 15 7 4 4 39:27 25
6 Clachnacuddin 14 6 5 3 31:15 23
7 Huntly 15 6 4 5 30:23 22
8 Strathspey Thistle 16 6 4 6 30:23 22
9 Forres Mechanics 15 6 3 6 25:24 21
10 Deveronvale 16 6 3 7 25:25 21
11 Nairn County 16 5 6 5 24:26 21
12 Turriff United 16 6 2 8 22:23 20
13 Buckie Thistle 14 6 1 7 34:26 19
14 Keith 15 5 3 7 25:35 18
15 Lossiemouth 15 5 3 7 22:36 18
16 Invergordon 15 4 1 10 21:42 13
17 Wick Academy 16 3 1 12 17:44 10
18 Rothes 15 1 0 14 10:63 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)