Sport Picks
Nairobi United vs AS Maniema
Africa
CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi 
Match Events
36'
36'
Ozome C.
46'
46'
Sub
Mbala O. In: Mboma Kinda J.
Out: Mbala O.
46'
46'
Sub
Panzi B. C. In: Tshitenge S.
Out: Panzi B. C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with AS Maniema advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Maniema
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Nairobi United haven't matched AS Maniema's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- AS Maniema arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor AS Maniema, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 28%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nairobi United | AS Maniema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
AS Maniema vs Nairobi United
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Nairobi United vs AS Maniema
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nairobi United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
AS Maniema Compare
Top Goalscorer Mboma Kinda J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nairobi United 38 / 100
AS Maniema 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nairobi United AS Maniema
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AS Maniema Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nairobi United's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Nairobi United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
AS Maniema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nairobi United VS AS Maniema
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nairobi United
(Home) 31 May
Mahia
0 : 1 Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0 Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0 Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0 Tusker
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24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0 Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0 Tusker
03 May
Nairobi United
0 : 1 KCB
08 Apr
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
Page 1 of 3
AS Maniema
(Away) 20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 AS Maniema
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1 Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2 AS Maniema
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1 Mazembe
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 AS Maniema
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2 AS Maniema
29 May
St Eloi Lupopo
0 : 0 AS Maniema
21 May
Mazembe
3 : 0 AS Maniema
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USM Alger | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Olympique de Safi | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Djoliba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | San Pedro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | 3 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wydad Athletic | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Maniema | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Azam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Otoho d'Oyo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Stellenbosch FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:9 | 5 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamalek | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Zesco | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
