Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nairobi United vs Police FC

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Nairobi United and Police FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nairobi United
30%
Draws
34%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nairobi United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Police FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nairobi United are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 20%
Police FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairobi United Police FC
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 15
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Police FC
0:0
Jan 19, 2026 Premier League
Police FC vs Nairobi United
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Super Cup
Police FC vs Nairobi United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairobi United 36 / 100
Police FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairobi United Police FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairobi United found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).

Nairobi United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Police FC let in goals in 47% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nairobi United VS Police FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairobi United

(Home)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 8

Police FC

(Away)
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)