Sport Picks
Nairobi United vs Shabana Prediction & H2H Stats
Kenya
Premier League 
Match Events
28'
28'
Odhiambo D.
38'
38'
Karamor M.
90'
90'
Kizza M.
AI Match Summary
Nairobi United in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nairobi United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nairobi United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nairobi United lately — more wins on the board than Shabana.
- Model gives Nairobi United a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Nairobi United here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 68%
Shabana Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nairobi United | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 24 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Nairobi United
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Shabana
3:0
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Nairobi United
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nairobi United Compare
Top Goalscorer Odhiambo D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Karamor M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Shabana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nairobi United 51 / 100
Shabana 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nairobi United Shabana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nairobi United scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Nairobi United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Shabana has conceded goals in 46% of their last 24 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nairobi United VS Shabana
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nairobi United
(Home) 31 May
Mahia
0 : 1 Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0 Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0 Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0 Tusker
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0 Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0 Tusker
03 May
Nairobi United
0 : 1 KCB
08 Apr
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
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Shabana
(Away) 31 May
Shabana
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0 Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0 Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 5
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0 Shabana
11 Apr
KUTA Collection
0 : 1 Shabana
05 Apr
Nairobi United
3 : 0 Shabana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
