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Najran vs Al-Shoalah

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Najran and Al-Shoalah finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Najran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Najran
20%
Draws
52%
Al-Shoalah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Shoalah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Najran come out ahead of Al-Shoalah on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Al-Shoalah taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Najran Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Shoalah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Najran Al-Shoalah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Division 2
Najran vs Al-Shoalah
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Division 2
Al-Shoalah vs Najran
0:3
Mar 13, 2023 Division 1
Al-Shoalah vs Najran
1:3
Oct 19, 2022 Division 1
Najran vs Al-Shoalah
1:1
Feb 9, 2022 Division 1
Al-Shoalah vs Najran
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Najran 12 / 100
Al-Shoalah 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Najran Al-Shoalah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Shoalah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Najran scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al-Shoalah let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Najran remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Najran VS Al-Shoalah
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Najran

(Home)
10 Apr
Najran
3 : 2
Al Najoom
04 Apr
Jubbah
3 : 1
Najran
28 Mar
Al-Sahel
2 : 0
Najran
24 Mar
Al Jeel
1 : 0
Najran
14 Mar
Najran
2 : 1
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 6

Al-Shoalah

(Away)
10 Apr
Al-Shoalah
4 : 1
Tuwaiq
04 Apr
Al Entesar
1 : 1
Al-Shoalah
28 Mar
Al-Washm
3 : 3
Al-Shoalah
14 Mar
Al-Shoalah
2 : 1
Al Ain
07 Mar
Afief
1 : 3
Al-Shoalah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)