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Nakambala Leopards vs Forest Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nakambala Leopards play Forest Rangers in the Super League 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nakambala Leopards averaged 0.52 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Forest Rangers averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Nakambala Leopards won 1, Forest Rangers won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2020 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Nakambala Leopards and 1.11 for Forest Rangers. This points to a Forest Rangers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Nakambala Leopards
29%
Draws
47%
Forest Rangers
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Forest Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Nakambala Leopards picked up more points recently compared to Forest Rangers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Nakambala Leopards Clean Sheet 21%
Forest Rangers Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakambala Leopards Forest Rangers
Matches Played 23 36
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 15
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.52 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.61 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Super League
Nakambala Leopards vs Forest Rangers
1:3
Oct 12, 2019 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nakambala Leopards
2:1
Aug 25, 2018 Super League
Nakambala Leopards vs Forest Rangers
1:0
May 12, 2018 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nakambala Leopards
1:0
Oct 25, 2017 Super League
Nakambala Leopards vs Forest Rangers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakambala Leopards Compare

Top Goalscorer Mundia L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Forest Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kola Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakambala Leopards 26 / 100
Forest Rangers 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakambala Leopards Forest Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Forest Rangers or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nakambala Leopards attacking → ← attacking Forest Rangers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nakambala Leopards scored in 43% of their last 23 games.

Forest Rangers let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Nakambala Leopards went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Forest Rangers lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 45
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nkana27148535:1850
2Forest Rangers27148532:1950
3Green Eagles27139534:1948
4NAPSA Stars27146736:2248
5Zesco27138638:2347
6Power Dynamos27128734:1944
7Zanaco27128737:2644
8Kabwe271251029:2941
9Lusaka Dynamos27117933:2840
10Red Arrows27117926:2840
11Green Buffaloes FC27108928:2738
12Nkwazi27614718:2032
13Buildcon27881129:3532
14Lumwana Radiants27871221:2231
15Kansanshi276101119:2428
16Mufulira Wanderers27451817:3917
17Nakambala Leopards27451815:4517
18Kabwe Youth Academy (Kysa)27351916:5414