Sport Picks
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Buriram United F.C. Prediction & H2H Stats
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 80th Birthday Stadium, Nakhon Ratchasima 
Match Events
12'
12'
Mueanta S.
Assist: Haiprakon S.
37'
37'
Haiprakon S.
Assist: Jaided S.
45'
45'
Sub
Noorach T. In: Prathumma P.
Out: Noorach T.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Nakhon Ratchasima FC and Buriram United F.C. finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buriram United F.C..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
35%
51%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Buriram United F.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nakhon Ratchasima FC haven't matched Buriram United F.C.'s recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Buriram United F.C.'s way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Buriram United F.C. have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 12%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Buriram United F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 7 | 26 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 2.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Buriram United F.C.
0:3
Nov 1, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Buriram United F.C.
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
5:0
Dec 14, 2024 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Buriram United F.C.
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Mueanta S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Haiprakon S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 0.98
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 19 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Buriram United F.C.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buriram United F.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Buriram United F.C. conceded in 58% of 38 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Nakhon Ratchasima FC VS Buriram United F.C.
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.5
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
(Home) 19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
22 Aug
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0 Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
22 Aug
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0 Rasisalai United
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
11 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 3
Buriram United F.C.
(Away) 20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
29 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
23 Aug
Ayutthaya United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
