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Nakhon Si United vs Chiangmai United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Nakhon Si Thammarat Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nakhon Si United play Chiangmai United in the Thai League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nakhon Si United averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Chiangmai United averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Nakhon Si United won 2, Chiangmai United won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Nakhon Si United and 1.13 for Chiangmai United. This points to a Chiangmai United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nakhon Si United
15%
Draws
48%
Chiangmai United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiangmai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Nakhon Si United picked up more points recently compared to Chiangmai United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Nakhon Si United Clean Sheet 21%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Si United Chiangmai United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 0
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.9 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Thai League 2
Nakhon Si United vs Chiangmai United
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Si United
5:1
Feb 16, 2025 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Si United
4:5
Oct 19, 2024 Thai League 2
Nakhon Si United vs Chiangmai United
1:3
Mar 16, 2024 Thai League 2
Nakhon Si United vs Chiangmai United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakhon Si United Compare

Top Goalscorer Maya N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaosaart T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chiangmai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Noisri W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Si United 38 / 100
Chiangmai United 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Si United Chiangmai United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chiangmai United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nakhon Si United attacking → ← attacking Chiangmai United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nakhon Si United scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Chiangmai United let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Nakhon Si United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chiangmai United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 36
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00