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Nalon CF vs Navia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2011/2012 game between Nalon CF and Navia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Nalon CF
15%
Draws
26%
Navia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nalon CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Navia haven't matched Nalon CF's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nalon CF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Navia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nalon CF Clean Sheet 19%
Navia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nalon CF Navia
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.2 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Nalon CF vs Navia
0:2
Aug 28, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navia vs Nalon CF
1:0
Jan 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navia vs Nalon CF
5:3
Sep 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Nalon CF vs Navia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nalon CF 85 / 100
Navia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nalon CF Navia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nalon CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navia let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Nalon CF found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Nalon CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nalon CF VS Navia
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nalon CF

(Home)
17 Nov
Nalon CF
1 : 2
Solares
13 May
Tuilla
2 : 4
Nalon CF
06 May
Nalon CF
1 : 0
Condal
01 May
Llanes
3 : 2
Nalon CF
28 Apr
Nalon CF
3 : 0
Pumarin
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Navia

(Away)
19 May
Navia
1 : 5
L Entregu CF
11 May
Atletico de Lugones
1 : 1
Navia
05 May
Navia
1 : 3
Condal
28 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Navia
21 Apr
Navia
0 : 3
Llanes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caudal Deportivo 38 30 3 5 93:21 93
2 Real Aviles 38 28 5 5 85:27 89
3 Langreo 38 21 9 8 61:29 72
4 Tuilla 38 19 8 11 50:38 65
5 Condal 38 17 11 10 48:37 62
6 Candas CF 38 17 10 11 52:41 61
7 Luarca 38 15 11 12 37:40 56
8 Universidad Oviedo 38 17 5 16 59:54 56
9 Llanes 38 14 13 11 46:41 55
10 Cudillero 38 15 10 13 53:40 55
11 Covadonga 38 14 10 14 66:55 52
12 Navia 38 12 10 16 36:55 46
13 Gijon Industrial 38 11 12 15 35:52 45
14 Lealtad 38 14 2 22 42:63 44
15 Navarro 38 12 6 20 44:60 42
16 Union Club Ceares 38 12 4 22 40:62 40
17 Real Oviedo B 38 10 10 18 40:55 40
18 Nalon CF 38 10 7 21 42:72 37
19 Pumarin 38 8 13 17 31:51 37
20 SD Colloto 38 3 3 32 31:98 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)