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Nalon CF vs Real Aviles Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nalon CF
20%
Draws
29%
Real Aviles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nalon CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nalon CF lately — more wins on the board than Real Aviles.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nalon CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Real Aviles have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Nalon CF Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nalon CF Real Aviles
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 15
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Aviles vs Nalon CF
5:0
Nov 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Nalon CF vs Real Aviles
1:3
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Nalon CF vs Real Aviles
2:2
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Aviles vs Nalon CF
1:0
May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Aviles vs Nalon CF
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nalon CF 36 / 100
Real Aviles 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nalon CF Real Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Aviles conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Nalon CF found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Nalon CF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Aviles
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nalon CF

(Home)
17 Nov
Nalon CF
1 : 2
Solares
13 May
Tuilla
2 : 4
Nalon CF
06 May
Nalon CF
1 : 0
Condal
01 May
Llanes
3 : 2
Nalon CF
28 Apr
Nalon CF
3 : 0
Pumarin
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Real Aviles

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2
Lugo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marino De Luanco 38 25 9 4 79:30 84
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 23 10 5 73:31 79
3 Langreo 38 24 5 9 67:30 77
4 Tuilla 38 23 6 9 83:51 75
5 Candas CF 38 19 12 7 60:38 69
6 Condal 38 17 10 11 57:42 61
7 Navia 38 16 12 10 60:50 60
8 Real Oviedo B 38 16 10 12 77:53 58
9 Navarro 38 16 7 15 44:54 55
10 Real Aviles 38 14 13 11 40:38 55
11 Cudillero 38 11 10 17 39:54 43
12 Lealtad 38 10 11 17 40:49 41
13 Luarca 38 9 14 15 38:53 41
14 Llanes 38 10 11 17 54:72 41
15 Union Club Ceares 38 10 9 19 39:56 39
16 Nalon CF 38 9 11 18 60:82 38
17 Gijon Industrial 38 9 10 19 34:50 37
18 Andes CF 38 9 10 19 35:68 37
19 Ribadesella CF 38 8 8 22 36:76 32
20 Praviano 38 5 6 27 34:72 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)