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Namungo vs Geita Gold - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Manyanya H.
Assist: Mussa R.

AI Match Summary

Namungo in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Namungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Namungo
15%
Draws
49%
Geita Gold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Geita Gold

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Namungo lately — more wins on the board than Geita Gold.
  • Namungo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Namungo Clean Sheet 20%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namungo Geita Gold
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.84 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Geita Gold
1:0
May 10, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Geita Gold
2:0
Nov 26, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Namungo
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Geita Gold
2:1
Oct 22, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Namungo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Manyanya H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Geita Gold Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 42 / 100
Geita Gold 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namungo Geita Gold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namungo's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Geita Gold conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Geita Gold has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS Geita Gold
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Namungo

(Home)
08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0
TRA United
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
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Geita Gold

(Away)
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 7 7 0 0 13:3 21
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Mashujaa 7 4 0 3 8:7 12
5 Singida Black Stars 7 3 2 2 14:10 11
6 Dodoma Jiji 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
8 Mbeya City 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
9 JKT Tanzania 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
10 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 9:12 7
12 Coastal Union 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 7 1 2 4 8:15 5
15 Pamba 7 1 1 5 8:13 4
16 Fountain Gate 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)