Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Namungo vs Mbeya City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Namungo host Mbeya City in the Ligi Kuu Bara. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mbeya City have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Namungo have conceded 1.32 and scored 0.81. Past meetings favor Namungo slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.19, favoring Mbeya City. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Namungo
15%
Draws
34%
Mbeya City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Namungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mbeya City come out ahead of Namungo on wins alone.
  • Namungo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Namungo Clean Sheet 20%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namungo Mbeya City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.81 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Mbeya City
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Namungo
0:1
Apr 9, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Mbeya City
2:1
Nov 4, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Namungo
2:1
Jun 29, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Namungo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 49 / 100
Mbeya City 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namungo Mbeya City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Namungo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mbeya City conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Mbeya City's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Namungo found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS Mbeya City
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Namungo

(Home)
24 Oct
Namungo
2 : 1
Coastal Union
08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0
TRA United
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
Page 1 of 7

Mbeya City

(Away)
18 Oct
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Mbeya City
09 Oct
Mbeya City
1 : 3
Kagera Sugar
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 8 6 1 1 17:4 19
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 JKT Tanzania 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
5 Dodoma Jiji 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
6 Polisi Tanzania 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
7 Namungo 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
8 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 9:13 12
9 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Mbeya City 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
11 Coastal Union 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 TRA United 8 1 4 3 6:7 7
13 Geita Gold 8 2 1 5 9:15 7
14 Pamba 9 1 3 5 10:15 6
15 Kagera Sugar 9 1 3 5 9:17 6
16 Fountain Gate 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)