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Namungo vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nganzi A.
58' Event
Nkane D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Namungo
20%
Draws
50%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TRA United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Namungo haven't matched TRA United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • TRA United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor TRA United, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors TRA United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Namungo Clean Sheet 27%
TRA United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namungo TRA United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs TRA United
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Federation Cup
Namungo vs TRA United
0:2
Mar 11, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Namungo
2:0
Feb 5, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Namungo
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs TRA United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namungo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Nganzi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nkane D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 38 / 100
TRA United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namungo TRA United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namungo scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

TRA United has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Namungo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS TRA United
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Namungo

(Home)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
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TRA United

(Away)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0