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Nancy vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fdaouch Z.
Assist: Carlier M.
22'
Carlier M.
34'
Saint-Ruf N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Nancy and Boulogne finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nancy
22%
Draws
18%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Nancy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Nancy taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Nancy Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy Boulogne
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Nancy
0:0
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Boulogne
1:0
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Nancy vs Boulogne
0:2
Sep 27, 2024 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Nancy
1:1
Mar 13, 2010 Ligue 1
Nancy vs Boulogne
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fdaouch Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 68 / 100
Boulogne 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nancy scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Boulogne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Nancy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS Boulogne
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
28 Jul
Nancy
1 : 1
Annecy
24 Jul
Nancy
5 : 0
Haguenau
18 Jul
Thionville
2 : 2
Nancy
11 Jul
Nancy
1 : 3
Troyes
04 Jul
Nancy
8 : 0
FC Mamer
Page 1 of 6

Boulogne

(Away)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)