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Stadium Background

Nancy vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fdaouch Z.
Assist: Carlier M.
22'
Carlier M.
34'
Saint-Ruf N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Nancy and Boulogne finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nancy
35%
Draws
20%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nancy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Nancy taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nancy Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy Boulogne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.69 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Nancy
0:0
Mar 20, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Nancy
0:0
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Boulogne
1:0
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Nancy vs Boulogne
0:2
Sep 27, 2024 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Nancy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fdaouch Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 68 / 100
Boulogne 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nancy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nancy scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Nancy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Boulogne let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS Boulogne
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Nancy
1 : 2
Reims
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
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Boulogne

(Away)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)