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Nancy vs Le Mans

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ztouti Z.
Assist: Fernandez N.
32'
Sub
Cossier I. In: Voyer H.
Out: Cossier I.
39' Event
Rabillard A.
Assist: Calodat L.

AI Match Summary

Le Mans in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Le Mans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nancy
20%
Draws
38%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Mans have won more games recently than Nancy.
  • Nancy are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nancy Clean Sheet 13%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy Le Mans
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 17
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 3 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Le Mans
2:4
Jan 11, 2026 Coupe de France
Le Mans vs Nancy
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Nancy
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Nancy vs Le Mans
2:0
Nov 1, 2024 Ligue 3
Le Mans vs Nancy
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Ztouti Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouabdelli W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Le Mans Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabillard A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Buades L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 40 / 100
Le Mans 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy Le Mans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nancy has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Nancy scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Le Mans has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS Le Mans
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
01 Aug
Epinal
0 : 0
Nancy
28 Jul
Nancy
1 : 1
Annecy
24 Jul
Nancy
5 : 0
Haguenau
18 Jul
Thionville
2 : 2
Nancy
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Le Mans

(Away)
01 Aug
Angers
2 : 3
Le Mans
25 Jul
Le Mans
1 : 0
Nantes
22 Jul
Le Mans
3 : 1
Versailles
18 Jul
Le Mans
2 : 3
La Roche Vendee
09 May
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Mans
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)