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Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu

China China

League One Wutaishan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Dong Honglin In: Robertinho
Out: Dong Honglin
19'
Gao D.
39'
Liu Jiqiang

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Nanjing City and Suzhou Dongwu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nanjing City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nanjing City
22%
Draws
18%
Suzhou Dongwu
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nanjing City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nanjing City come out ahead of Suzhou Dongwu on wins alone.
  • Nanjing City are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 68%
Suzhou Dongwu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nanjing City Suzhou Dongwu
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 League One
Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 League One
Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City
1:0
May 16, 2025 League One
Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 League One
Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City
2:1
Apr 21, 2024 League One
Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nanjing City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Vitor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Suzhou Dongwu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nanjing City 68 / 100
Suzhou Dongwu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nanjing City Suzhou Dongwu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nanjing City scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Suzhou Dongwu let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Suzhou Dongwu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nanjing City VS Suzhou Dongwu
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power1493227:1430
2Shenzhen Juniors1474326:1825
3Yanbian Longding1466221:1224
4Nantong Zhiyun1365212:923
5Guangxi Hengchen1364319:1322
6Shaanxi Union1354419:919
7Ningbo Professional1363418:1618
8Nanjing City1453614:1518
9Wuxi Wugou1345421:1617
10Dingnan Ganlian1438321:2417
11Dalian Kun City1344519:2016
12Changchun Yatai1361620:2215
13Meizhou Hakka1442813:2911
14Foshan Nanshi1324715:2610
15Shijiazhuang Gongfu142397:189
16Suzhou Dongwu1423911:226