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Nantes II vs Pontivy

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CFA - Group D 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
(Penalty)
77' Event

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2014/2015 game between Nantes II and Pontivy finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nantes II
30%
Draws
34%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nantes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontivy come out ahead of Nantes II on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nantes II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nantes II Clean Sheet 18%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes II Pontivy
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Nantes II vs Pontivy
1:1
Aug 16, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Nantes II
1:1
Mar 15, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Nantes II vs Pontivy
0:0
Nov 2, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Nantes II
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes II 36 / 100
Pontivy 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes II Pontivy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nantes II found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Pontivy has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Nantes II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantes II VS Pontivy
1.13 Goals Scored 1.6
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.4
88% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lorient II301511444:2986
2Les Herbiers30175850:2686
3Stade Bordelais30157839:3282
4Concarneau301310746:3279
5Trelissac30147946:3479
6Pau301112749:3675
7Vitre301361145:4875
8Nantes II301191042:4272
9Stade Montois301071334:4067
10Bordeaux II301071347:4867
11Plabennec30981329:4165
12Tarbes308101232:4064
13Saint-Malo308101239:4664
14Fontenay307121133:4063
15Pontivy305101523:4055
16Limoges30491733:5750