Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nantes U19 vs Sevilla U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Wed, Feb 7, 2024
4 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Jalade R.
47'
Guirassy H.
51' Event
Martinez S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with Nantes U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nantes U19
20%
Draws
46%
Sevilla U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sevilla U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Sevilla U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Nantes U19 taking it.
  • Sevilla U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nantes U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nantes U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Sevilla U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes U19 Sevilla U19
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Nantes U19 vs Sevilla U19
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafoumbi M'Badinga E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sevilla U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salguero I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes U19 59 / 100
Sevilla U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes U19 Sevilla U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantes U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nantes U19 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (16 games).

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Sevilla U19 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Nantes U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantes U19 VS Sevilla U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes U19

(Home)
10 Dec
Nantes U19
2 : 3
Maccabi Haifa U19
26 Nov
Maccabi Haifa U19
1 : 0
Nantes U19
05 Nov
Sabah Baku U19
1 : 2
Nantes U19
22 Oct
Nantes U19
5 : 0
Sabah Baku U19
19 Apr
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
1 : 0
Nantes U19
Page 1 of 4

Sevilla U19

(Away)
07 Feb
Nantes U19
4 : 3
Sevilla U19
12 Dec
Lens U19
1 : 1
Sevilla U19
29 Nov
Sevilla U19
1 : 0
PSV U19
08 Nov
Arsenal U19
1 : 1
Sevilla U19
24 Oct
Sevilla U19
2 : 1
Arsenal U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Basel U19 0
Bayern U19 2
Feyenoord U19 -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 1
Inter U19 0
Lens U19 -
TBD -
Salzburg U19 -
TBD -
Nantes U19 4
Sevilla U19 3
Zilina U19 2
Dortmund U19 1
FC Copenhagen U19 -
TBD -
Mainz U19 3
Barcelona U19 2
Manchester City U19 -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar U19 1
Atl. Madrid U19 0
FC Porto U19 -
TBD -
AC Milan U19 -
TBD -
Partizan U19 0
Braga U19 2
Real Madrid U19 -
TBD -
Midtjylland U19 1
RB Leipzig U19 2
1/8-finals
Bayern U19 3
Feyenoord U19 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 3
Lens U19 2
Salzburg U19 0
Nantes U19 1
Zilina U19 1
FC Copenhagen U19 2
Mainz U19 2
Manchester City U19 1
AZ Alkmaar U19 1
FC Porto U19 2
AC Milan U19 3
Braga U19 2
Real Madrid U19 2
RB Leipzig U19 0
Quarter-finals
Bayern U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 3
Nantes U19 4
FC Copenhagen U19 3
Mainz U19 1
FC Porto U19 4
AC Milan U19 2
Real Madrid U19 1
Semi-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 1
Nantes U19 0
FC Porto U19 2
AC Milan U19 3
Final
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 3
AC Milan U19 0