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Nantes vs Dunkerque - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nantes host Dunkerque in the Ligue 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Nantes have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Dunkerque's 1.14 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Nantes slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2024, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Nantes to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nantes
20%
Draws
29%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Nantes and Dunkerque close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Nantes a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nantes Clean Sheet 16%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes Dunkerque
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Nantes vs Dunkerque
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes 84 / 100
Dunkerque 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dunkerque conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Nantes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Dunkerque registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantes VS Dunkerque
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes

(Home)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Dunkerque

(Away)
09 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Annecy
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)