Sport Picks

France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de la Beaujoire

Nantes

2 - 0

Le Havre

Our Tip

Match Events

Zouaoui Y.

Own Goal

14'

Centonze F.

32'

Gourna-Douath L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nantes in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nantes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Nantes

22%

Draws

18%

Le Havre

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Nantes haven't matched Le Havre's recent run of results.
60% — that's where the model lands on Nantes taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Nantes Clean Sheet 68%

Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nantes	Le Havre
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	5	6
Draws	6	11
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1

Nantes vs Le Havre

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Nantes

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Mar 30, 2025 Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Nantes

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

3:2

Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1

Nantes vs Le Havre

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Nantes

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes 68 / 100

Le Havre 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nantes Le Havre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nantes scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Le Havre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Nantes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantes VS Le Havre

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSG	34	24	4	6	74:29	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66:35	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52:37	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53:40	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63:45	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59:50	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60:54	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58:47	53
9	Toulouse	34	12	9	13	47:46	45
10	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48:51	45
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47:50	44
12	Brest	34	10	9	15	43:55	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29:48	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32:44	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34:44	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37:60	32
17	Nantes	34	5	9	20	29:52	24
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32:76	17