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Nantes vs Paris FC

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nantes play Paris FC in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nantes averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Paris FC averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Nantes won 3, Paris FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 18, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Nantes and 1.63 for Paris FC. This points to a Paris FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nantes
19%
Draws
50%
Paris FC
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Nantes picked up more points recently compared to Paris FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Nantes Clean Sheet 14%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes Paris FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Paris FC
1:2
Oct 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Nantes
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Nantes vs Paris FC
2:3
Oct 30, 2019 Coupe de la Ligue
Nantes vs Paris FC
8:0
Mar 2, 1979 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Nantes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Mostafa Mohamed
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leroux L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Paris FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasso J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gory A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes 31 / 100
Paris FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes Paris FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paris FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nantes attacking → ← attacking Paris FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nantes scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Paris FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Nantes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Paris FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 40
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88