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Nantes vs Red Star

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Tati T.
36'
Khaoui S. E.
58'
Sub
Cafaro M. In: Guirassy B.
Out: Cafaro M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Nantes and Red Star finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Nantes
15%
Draws
59%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nantes haven't matched Red Star's recent run of results.
  • Nantes are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nantes Clean Sheet 18%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes Red Star
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Nantes vs Red Star
0:1
Dec 22, 1974 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Red Star
0:0
Aug 16, 1974 Ligue 1
Red Star vs Nantes
4:4
May 29, 1973 Ligue 1
Red Star vs Nantes
1:3
Dec 17, 1972 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Red Star
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes 36 / 100
Red Star 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Red Star let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Nantes found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Nantes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nantes VS Red Star
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes

(Home)
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1
Red Star
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Le Mans
1 : 0
Nantes
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1
La Roche Vendee
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0
Nantes
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Red Star

(Away)
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1
Red Star
31 Jul
Amiens SC
3 : 1
Red Star
28 Jul
UNFP
1 : 4
Red Star
25 Jul
Le Havre
2 : 1
Red Star
21 Jul
Red Star
3 : 2
Orleans
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Rodez 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Metz 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Annecy 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Red Star 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Dijon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Montpellier 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Nancy 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Clermont 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Reims 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Guingamp 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Nantes 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Pau 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Grenoble 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
17 Laval 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Sochaux 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)