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Nantes vs Red Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Tati T.
36'
Khaoui S.
58'
Sub
Cafaro M. In: Guirassy H.
Out: Cafaro M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Nantes and Red Star finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nantes
20%
Draws
47%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nantes haven't matched Red Star's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Nantes Clean Sheet 15%
Red Star Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes Red Star
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Nantes vs Red Star
0:1
Dec 22, 1974 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Red Star
0:0
Aug 16, 1974 Ligue 1
Red Star vs Nantes
4:4
May 29, 1973 Ligue 1
Red Star vs Nantes
1:3
Dec 17, 1972 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Red Star
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes 35 / 100
Red Star 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Red Star let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Nantes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Nantes scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nantes VS Red Star
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes

(Home)
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Red Star

(Away)
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
29 Aug
Red Star
1 : 4
Reims
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)