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Nantes vs Rodez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
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Match Events

4' Event
Corredor K.
Assist: Cafaro M.
7'
Issanchou C.
15' Event
Balde I.
Assist: Ponti R.

AI Match Summary

Rodez in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nantes
15%
Draws
51%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodez lately — more wins on the board than Nantes.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nantes Clean Sheet 12%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes Rodez
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ligue 2
Nantes vs Rodez
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Corredor K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ponti R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes 29 / 100
Rodez 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes Rodez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Rodez lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Nantes found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Nantes VS Rodez
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes

(Home)
24 Oct
St Etienne
1 : 0
Nantes
17 Oct
Nantes
2 : 3
Dunkerque
10 Oct
Nantes
0 : 0
Reims
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

Rodez

(Away)
24 Oct
Dijon
1 : 2
Rodez
19 Oct
Rodez
0 : 3
Montpellier
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 10 8 1 1 23:8 25
2 Montpellier 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Nancy 10 6 1 3 12:8 19
4 Reims 10 4 6 0 20:12 18
5 Pau 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
6 Red Star 10 5 2 3 13:12 17
7 Annecy 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
8 Metz 10 3 5 2 16:14 14
9 Dijon 10 3 3 4 17:18 12
10 Dunkerque 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 Guingamp 10 3 2 5 13:15 11
12 Sochaux 10 2 5 3 8:12 11
13 Boulogne 10 1 7 2 7:7 10
14 Rodez 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
15 Nantes 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
16 Grenoble 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Clermont 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
18 Laval 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)