Sport Picks
Nantes vs Strasbourg
France
Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes 
Match Events
6'
6'
Tabibou D.
Assist: Abline M.
16'
16'
Barco V.
29'
29'
Amo-Ameyaw S.
AI Match Summary
Strasbourg in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strasbourg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Nantes haven't matched Strasbourg's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Strasbourg have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nantes Clean Sheet 18%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nantes | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Strasbourg
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Nantes
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Strasbourg
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Nantes
3:1
Mar 16, 2024 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Strasbourg
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nantes Compare
Top Goalscorer Tabibou D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abline M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Strasbourg Compare
Top Goalscorer Panichelli J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Oyedele M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nantes 32 / 100
Strasbourg 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nantes Strasbourg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Strasbourg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Strasbourg let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Nantes scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Nantes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nantes VS Strasbourg
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nantes
(Home) 19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2 Nantes
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0 Nantes
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0 Nancy
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3 Nantes
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5 Rodez
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0 Nancy
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5 Rodez
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1 Red Star
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1 Al Wakra
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1 La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 3
Strasbourg
(Away) 19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1 Strasbourg
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1 Monaco
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6 Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1 Strasbourg
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6 Strasbourg
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
