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Nantes W vs OL Lyonnes W Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes
Nantes W Logo

Nantes W

1 - 1
FT
OL Lyonnes W Logo

OL Lyonnes W

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Marmillot C.
Assist: Becho V.
46'
Sub
Calba L. In: van de Ven Z.
Out: Calba L.
55'
Marmillot C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Nantes W
30%
Draws
61%
OL Lyonnes W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OL Lyonnes W lately — more wins on the board than Nantes W.
  • Model gives OL Lyonnes W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors OL Lyonnes W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 10%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes W OL Lyonnes W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 13 25
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.66 3.7
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Nantes W
8:0
Apr 29, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Nantes W
6:1
Apr 23, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs OL Lyonnes W
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Nantes W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Swierot J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marmillot C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes W 10 / 100
OL Lyonnes W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes W OL Lyonnes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Nantes W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

OL Lyonnes W has conceded goals in 45% of their last 33 outings.

Nantes W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nantes W VS OL Lyonnes W
0.75 Goals Scored 4.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes W

(Home)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
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OL Lyonnes W

(Away)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 22 19 3 0 76:11 60
2 Paris FC W 22 15 3 4 46:16 48
3 PSG W 22 15 2 5 48:26 47
4 Nantes W 22 12 5 5 42:34 41
5 Fleury 91 W 22 9 6 7 27:21 33
6 Dijon W 22 9 6 7 21:28 33
7 Strasbourg W 22 7 5 10 26:38 26
8 Le Havre W 22 5 6 11 25:45 21
9 Marseille W 22 5 4 13 26:44 19
10 Montpellier W 22 4 3 15 28:45 15
11 Lens W 22 4 3 15 20:50 15
12 St Etienne W 22 3 4 15 11:38 13
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women (Main)