Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nantes W vs Toulouse W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade Marcel Saupin, Nantes
Wed, Dec 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de la Ligue Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Toulouse W have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Nantes W have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.57. Head-to-head, Nantes W have won 1 to Toulouse W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2025, ending 0:5. xG projections (1.88 - 0.88) back Nantes W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Nantes W
30%
Draws
12%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nantes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Nantes W haven't matched Toulouse W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nantes W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Toulouse W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Toulouse W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 20%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantes W Toulouse W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Toulouse W vs Nantes W
0:5
Mar 29, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Nantes W
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Seconde Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Toulouse W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantes W 85 / 100
Toulouse W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantes W Toulouse W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nantes W scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Toulouse W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nantes W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nantes W VS Toulouse W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantes W

(Home)
17 Oct
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Nantes W
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
Page 1 of 6

Toulouse W

(Away)
21 Oct
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Strasbourg W
17 Oct
Toulouse W
0 : 4
Paris FC W
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)