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Nantong Haimen vs Guangxi Hengchen

China China

League Two 2025 Haimen Sports Center Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Wang Bowen
Assist: Yin Hanlong
24'
Sub
Wei Chaolun In: Chen G.
Out: Wei Chaolun
33' Event
Fei Ernanduo
Assist: Ji X.

AI Match Summary

Guangxi Hengchen in this League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guangxi Hengchen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nantong Haimen
40%
Draws
29%
Guangxi Hengchen
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangxi Hengchen have won more games recently than Nantong Haimen.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guangxi Hengchen here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nantong Haimen Clean Sheet 18%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantong Haimen Guangxi Hengchen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 17
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 League Two
Guangxi Hengchen vs Nantong Haimen
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Guangxi Hengchen
3:4
Sep 21, 2024 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Guangxi Hengchen
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 League Two
Guangxi Hengchen vs Nantong Haimen
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantong Haimen Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Bowen
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pei Guoguang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Fei Ernanduo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ning W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantong Haimen 32 / 100
Guangxi Hengchen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantong Haimen Guangxi Hengchen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Nantong Haimen found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Nantong Haimen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guangxi Hengchen has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nantong Haimen VS Guangxi Hengchen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangxi Hengchen30234362:1773
2Wuxi Wugou30197442:1864
3Shenzhen 202830167736:2655
4Chengdu Rongcheng B30149748:2751
5Guizhou Guiyang301551039:3450
6Nantong Haimen301310752:3449
7Shandong Taishan B301212643:2748
8Changchun Xidu301011924:2841