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Nantong Haimen vs Qingdao Red Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Haimen Sports Center Stadium, Nantong
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Huang Yuxuan
46'
Sub
Deng Jiajie In: Sun Weijia
Out: Deng Jiajie
47'
Bai Xianyi

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Nantong Haimen and Qingdao Red Lions finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nantong Haimen
35%
Draws
20%
Qingdao Red Lions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nantong Haimen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nantong Haimen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Nantong Haimen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Nantong Haimen Clean Sheet 68%
Qingdao Red Lions Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantong Haimen Qingdao Red Lions
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 13 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.28 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Qingdao Red Lions
1:1
May 23, 2026 League Two
Qingdao Red Lions vs Nantong Haimen
0:1
Jun 28, 2023 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Qingdao Red Lions
0:1
Apr 29, 2023 League Two
Qingdao Red Lions vs Nantong Haimen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantong Haimen Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Bowen
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Qingdao Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Li Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantong Haimen 95 / 100
Qingdao Red Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantong Haimen Qingdao Red Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantong Haimen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Nantong Haimen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Nantong Haimen's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Qingdao Red Lions let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Qingdao Red Lions lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nantong Haimen VS Qingdao Red Lions
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantong Haimen

(Home)
11 Oct
Ganzhou Ruishi
1 : 1
Nantong Haimen
07 Oct
Nantong Haimen
2 : 0
Xiamen Feilu
18 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 2
Nantong Haimen
12 Sept
Nantong Haimen
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng B
22 Aug
Nantong Haimen
2 : 2
Shandong Taishan B
Page 1 of 6

Qingdao Red Lions

(Away)
06 Oct
Qingdao Red Lions
0 : 2
Wuhan Three Towns B
19 Sept
Ganzhou Ruishi
2 : 1
Qingdao Red Lions
13 Sept
Qingdao Red Lions
1 : 0
Xiamen Feilu
22 Aug
Shanghai Port B
2 : 0
Qingdao Red Lions
19 Aug
Nantong Haimen
1 : 1
Qingdao Red Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)