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Stadium Background

Nantong Haimen vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

China China

League Two Haimen Sports Center Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Cao Yuetao
45' Event
Kurban Eysajan
46'
Sub
Cao Yuetao In: Wang Bowen
Out: Cao Yuetao

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Nantong Haimen
28%
Draws
50%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nantong Haimen haven't matched Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's recent run of results.
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nantong Haimen Clean Sheet 18%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantong Haimen Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Nantong Haimen
1:0
May 25, 2025 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
7:0
Jun 30, 2024 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1:0
Apr 15, 2024 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Nantong Haimen
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantong Haimen Compare

Top Goalscorer Qi Dan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurban Eysajan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantong Haimen 23 / 100
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantong Haimen Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Nantong Haimen found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Nantong Haimen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nantong Haimen VS Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B16102423:1332
2Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1626815:2812
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179