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Nantong Haimen vs Taian Tiankuang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Haimen Sports Center Stadium, Nantong
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Match Events

16' Event
Yin Hanlong
31' Event
Yin Hanlong
45'
Deng H.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Nantong Haimen and Taian Tiankuang finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nantong Haimen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nantong Haimen
35%
Draws
26%
Taian Tiankuang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nantong Haimen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Taian Tiankuang come out ahead of Nantong Haimen on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nantong Haimen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nantong Haimen Clean Sheet 68%
Taian Tiankuang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantong Haimen Taian Tiankuang
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Taian Tiankuang
2:1
May 9, 2026 League Two
Taian Tiankuang vs Nantong Haimen
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 League Two
Taian Tiankuang vs Nantong Haimen
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Taian Tiankuang
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Taian Tiankuang
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantong Haimen Compare

Top Goalscorer Yin Hanlong
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Taian Tiankuang Compare

Top Goalscorer Gao Jian
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantong Haimen 41 / 100
Taian Tiankuang 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantong Haimen Taian Tiankuang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantong Haimen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nantong Haimen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nantong Haimen found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Taian Tiankuang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nantong Haimen VS Taian Tiankuang
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantong Haimen

(Home)
07 Oct
Nantong Haimen
2 : 0
Xiamen Feilu
18 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 2
Nantong Haimen
12 Sept
Nantong Haimen
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng B
22 Aug
Nantong Haimen
2 : 2
Shandong Taishan B
19 Aug
Nantong Haimen
1 : 1
Qingdao Red Lions
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Taian Tiankuang

(Away)
07 Oct
Taian Tiankuang
3 : 0
Ganzhou Ruishi
19 Sept
Chengdu Rongcheng B
1 : 1
Taian Tiankuang
12 Sept
Taian Tiankuang
0 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
22 Aug
Taian Tiankuang
2 : 2
Shanghai Second
15 Aug
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0
Taian Tiankuang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)