Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nantwich vs Grantham Town

England England

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Cooke S.
21' Event
Shaw L.
66' Event
Eze H.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Nantwich advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nantwich
15%
Draws
57%
Grantham Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grantham Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Nantwich carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Nantwich have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nantwich, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nantwich here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nantwich Clean Sheet 20%
Grantham Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nantwich Grantham Town
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.39 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Nantwich vs Grantham Town
1:0
Nov 13, 2021 FA Trophy
Nantwich vs Grantham Town
2:1
Sep 28, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Grantham Town vs Nantwich
0:1
Sep 4, 2021 FA Cup
Nantwich vs Grantham Town
2:0
May 1, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Nantwich vs Grantham Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nantwich Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooke S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.69

Grantham Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nantwich 36 / 100
Grantham Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nantwich Grantham Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grantham Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nantwich found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Grantham Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Grantham Town's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nantwich VS Grantham Town
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.4
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Nantwich

(Home)
12 Sept
Nantwich
2 : 3
Wellingborough
29 Aug
Boston Town
1 : 2
Nantwich
28 Jul
Nantwich
0 : 3
Chester
27 Sept
Macclesfield
2 : 0
Nantwich
20 Sept
Silsden
3 : 0
Nantwich
Page 1 of 6

Grantham Town

(Away)
29 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 3
Mickleover
08 Jul
Grantham Town
2 : 0
Lincoln Utd.
14 Sept
Gainsborough
2 : 1
Grantham Town
07 Sept
Grantham Town
0 : 2
Coleshill Town
31 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 0
Newark and Sherwood
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
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Chester -
Leamington -
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Alfreton -
Bradford PA -
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Marine 3
Dunston 2
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Halifax -
Notts County -
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Altrincham -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
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Hanwell Town 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Enfield Town 2
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Hartley Wintney 3
Willand Rovers 0
Folkestone 2
Faversham 1
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Walton Casuals 2
Uxbridge 6
Barnet -
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Boreham Wood -
Maidenhead -
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Maidstone -
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Billericay -
Yeovil -
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Woking -
Needham Market 3
Margate 2
Welwyn Garden 2
Carshalton 1
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Wealdstone -
Cray Wanderers 2
Bedfont Sports 1
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Ebbsfleet -
Bath City -
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Dartford -
Hungerford -
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Welling -
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Weymouth -
Stockport County -
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Grimsby -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Wimborne 2
Marlow 2
Larkhall 3
Concord Rangers -
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AFC Totton 3
Frome Town 2
Oxford City -
TBD -
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St. Albans -
Braintree -
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Bedford 0
Potters 1
Chelmsford -
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Cheshunt 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Stortford 2
Chipstead 1
Leiston 3
Harrow Borough 0
Canvey Island 6
Yaxley 0
TBD -
Tonbridge -
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Torquay -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
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Whitby 5
Mossley AFC 0
Nantwich 2
Grantham Town 1
Aldershot -
TBD -
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TBD -
Royston Town 1
Kingstonian 2
Farnborough 1
Banbury 0
Dover Ath. -
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Bromley -
Hemel Hempstead -
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Carlton Town 1
Stourbridge 2
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Peterborough Sports 1
TBD -
Telford -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
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Ashton United 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
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Guiseley -
Farsley -
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Bootle 3
Stalybridge 4
Southport -
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Darlington FC -
AFC Fylde -
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Gateshead -
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Solihull Moors -
Binfield 3
Cinderford Town 0
Truro 2
Bognor Regis 1
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TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
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Hayes & Yeading 0
Worthing FC 3
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Dorking Wanderers -
Radcliffe 2
Nuneaton 0
Colne 1
Tamworth 2
Spennymoor -
TBD -
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Chorley -
Plymouth Parkway 4
Salisbury 0
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Brentwood 4
Staines 1
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Rushall 0
Matlock 4
Marske United 3
United of Manchester 2
York City -
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Blyth Spartans -
Slough Town -
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Eastbourne Borough -
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Bracknell Town 1
Tiverton 3
Warrington Town 2
Chasetown 0
Bromsgrove 0
Morpeth 1
Liversedge 3
Basford Utd. 2
Gainsborough 1
Lancaster 2
Brackley -
TBD -
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Boston United -
Hereford -
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Kidderminster -
1/64-finals
Curzon Ashton 2
Chester 1
Leamington 0
Alfreton 3
Bradford PA 4
Marine 3
TBD -
Halifax -
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Hanwell Town 0
Enfield Town 2
Wrexham -
TBD -
Gloucester City 3
Kettering 0
Hartley Wintney 0
Folkestone 2
Chippenham Town 0
Uxbridge 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Maidstone 2
Billericay 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Needham Market 3
Welwyn Garden 1
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Cray Wanderers 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Bath City 0
Dartford 1
Hungerford 3
Welling 2
TBD -
Weymouth -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Wimborne 1
Larkhall 2
Concord Rangers 0
AFC Totton 5
Oxford City 1
St. Albans 4
Braintree 3
Potters 1
Chelmsford 1
Cheshunt 2
Stortford 5
Leiston 1
Canvey Island 0
Tonbridge 1
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Torquay -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Whitby 0
Nantwich 1
Aldershot -
TBD -
Kingstonian 4
Farnborough 1
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Stourbridge 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Telford 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Ashton United 1
Guiseley 2
Farsley 1
Stalybridge 0
Southport 2
Darlington FC 1
AFC Fylde 1
Gateshead 0
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Binfield 2
Truro 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
Worthing FC 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
Radcliffe 5
Tamworth 1
Spennymoor 1
Chorley 0
Plymouth Parkway 1
Hampton & Richmond 0
Brentwood 1
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Matlock 3
Marske United 2
York City 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Slough Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Eastbourne Borough 2
Tiverton 1
Warrington Town 1
Morpeth 2
Liversedge 1
Lancaster 3
Brackley 1
Boston United 2
Hereford 1
Kidderminster 2
1/32-finals
Curzon Ashton 1
Alfreton 3
Bradford PA 3
Halifax 4
Notts County 2
Altrincham 1
Eastleigh 5
Enfield Town 0
Wrexham 5
Gloucester City 0
Folkestone 2
Uxbridge 0
Barnet 2
Boreham Wood 3
Maidenhead -
Maidstone -
Yeovil 3
Woking 1
Needham Market 2
Wealdstone 1
Cray Wanderers 1
Dartford 3
Hungerford 0
Weymouth 1
Stockport County 4
Grimsby 0
Larkhall 2
AFC Totton 1
St. Albans 1
Braintree 0
Cheshunt 1
Stortford 0
Tonbridge 2
Torquay 1
King’s Lynn 2
Nantwich 1
Aldershot 2
Kingstonian 1
Dover Ath. 0
Bromley 1
Stourbridge 3
Telford 2
Chesterfield -
Guiseley -
Farsley 0
Southport 3
AFC Fylde 0
Solihull Moors 1
Truro 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Southend 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Radcliffe 0
Spennymoor 1
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Matlock 0
York City 1
Slough Town 3
Eastbourne Borough 1
Morpeth 4
Lancaster 3
Boston United 4
Kidderminster 1
1/16-finals
Alfreton 1
Halifax 2
Notts County 2
Eastleigh 1
Wrexham 5
Folkestone 1
Boreham Wood 2
Maidstone 1
Yeovil 1
Needham Market 2
Dartford 1
Weymouth 0
Stockport County 3
Larkhall 0
St. Albans 0
Cheshunt 3
Tonbridge 2
King’s Lynn 1
Aldershot 0
Bromley 2
Stourbridge 1
Guiseley 0
Southport 0
Solihull Moors 3
Dagenham & Red. 2
Southend 0
Spennymoor 3
Plymouth Parkway 1
York City 1
Slough Town 0
Morpeth 4
Boston United 3
1/8-finals
Halifax 1
Notts County 2
Wrexham 3
Boreham Wood 0
Needham Market 1
Dartford 0
Stockport County 1
Cheshunt 0
Tonbridge 1
Bromley 2
Stourbridge 0
Solihull Moors 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Spennymoor 0
York City 3
Morpeth 2
Quarter-finals
Notts County 1
Wrexham 2
Needham Market 0
Stockport County 3
Bromley 3
Solihull Moors 1
Dagenham & Red. 1
York City 2
Semi-finals
Wrexham 2
Stockport County 0
Bromley 3
York City 1
Final
Wrexham 0
Bromley 1