Sport Picks
Napier City vs Wellington Olympic
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 2025 
AI Match Summary
Napier City play Wellington Olympic in the Chatham Cup 2025. Wellington Olympic are favorites here. Recently, Napier City averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Wellington Olympic averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Napier City won 1, Wellington Olympic won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 6, 2025 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.26 for Napier City and 2.08 for Wellington Olympic. This points to a Wellington Olympic double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Napier City picked up more points recently compared to Wellington Olympic.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.26 vs 2.08 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Napier City | Wellington Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 9 | 22 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.37 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.40 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.40 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Napier City Compare
Wellington Olympic Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Napier City scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Wellington Olympic let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.
Games between these two average 6.25 goals.
Napier City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Wellington Olympic lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics